Stock Market Update: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Near Records While Dow Declines After Jobs Data

WTS Capital
December 3, 2024

US stocks experienced a mixed trading session on Tuesday as investors analyzed new jobs data and anticipated comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate adjustments. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hovered near record levels, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a decline following the release of key employment statistics.

Key Takeaways

  • The S&P 500 fell approximately 0.2%, while the Nasdaq remained stable.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped about 0.4% after earlier gains.
  • Job openings increased by 372,000 to 7.74 million in October, surpassing expectations.
  • Traders are pricing in a 69% chance of a rate cut by the Fed at its December meeting.

Market Overview

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 index fell by about 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite remained close to the flat line, coming off recent record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reversed its earlier gains, declining roughly 0.4%. This mixed performance came as investors digested the latest jobs data and awaited further insights from Federal Reserve officials.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that job openings rose to 7.74 million in October, exceeding the anticipated 7.52 million. This increase in job openings is seen as a positive sign for the labor market, although the number of hires decreased during the same period.

Federal Reserve Outlook

Market participants are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Currently, traders are estimating a 69% probability that the Fed will lower rates by a quarter percentage point at its upcoming meeting on December 18. This is an increase from 62% just a day prior. The upcoming discussions by Fed policymakers are expected to influence these odds further.

Corporate Highlights

  • Tesla (TSLA): Shares of Tesla fell in early trading due to a decline in shipments of its China-built electric vehicles, raising concerns about meeting sales targets. Additionally, CEO Elon Musk's substantial pay package was rejected by a judge.
  • US Steel (X): The stock dropped approximately 8% following President-elect Donald Trump's announcement to block its $15 billion acquisition by Japan's Nippon Steel, citing a preference for American steel production.

Sector Performance

In sector performance, Communication Services, Health Care, and Energy sectors led the day, while Industrials lagged behind. Oil prices saw a notable increase, with WTI crude rising by 3% to trade above $70 a barrel, and Brent crude nearing $74 a barrel.

Economic Projections

Despite uncertainties surrounding the economic policies of the incoming administration, economists at Bank of America project solid growth for the US economy, estimating an annualized growth rate of 2.4% in 2025. This outlook suggests resilience in the face of potential inflationary pressures from proposed tariffs and tax cuts.

Conclusion

As the market continues to react to economic indicators and Federal Reserve commentary, investors remain cautious yet optimistic about the potential for future rate cuts and the overall health of the economy. The mixed performance of major indices reflects the ongoing balancing act between positive job data and concerns over corporate performance and economic policy changes.

Sources

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